“Despite the drop in mining and oil output, Vietnam’s economycontinues to perform well, driven by its twin engines of export-orientatedmanufacturing and rising domestic consumption”, said Eric Sidgwick, ADB CountryDirector for Vietnam.
“Manufacturing expanded by 10.5 percent in the first half of the year as newforeign-invested factories ramped up production, while the services sectorcontinued to pick up steam as a result of rising retail trade, growing banklending and a 30 percent jump in tourism arrivals.”
Vietnam’s economic growth is expected to rise in the secondhalf of the year, buoyed by further increases in foreign direct investment andexports, domestic credit growth, a further recovery in agriculture from the2016 drought and accelerating disbursements of capital expenditure on nationalinfrastructure programmes.
The report stressed that while Vietnam’s economy isperforming reasonably well against a challenging back-drop, several issues willneed to be addressed to ensure growth remains sustainable.
It forecasts adownward revision in Vietnam’s economic growth to 6.3 percent in 2017, and 6.5percent in 2018 as a result of an 8 percent contraction in mining and oiloutput in the first half of the year.
Economic experts said while recent progress intrimming the budget deficit is commendable, it has also led to a drop incapital spending which if not rebalanced could erode Vietnam’s long-term growthperformance. For Vietnam’s fiscal consolidation to be ‘growth-friendly’, theauthorities may usefully focus on adopting additional taxation measures whiletrimming non-core public expenditures such as administrative expenses whichhave crowded-out infrastructure in recent years.-VNA