Vietnam leads CLMV countries in economic recovery: Maybank Kim Eng
Vietnam appears to be leading the economic recovery among four emerging economies in ASEAN known collectively as CLMV (Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam), with exports and manufacturing already "far above" pre-pandemic levels, according to Maybank Kim Eng.
Singapore (VNA) – Vietnam appears to be leading the economic recovery among fouremerging economies in ASEAN known collectively as CLMV (Cambodia, Laos, Myanmarand Vietnam), with exports and manufacturing already "far above"pre-pandemic levels, according to Maybank Kim Eng.
In its recent report, the bank described recovery in the region as sluggish anduneven, noting that Vietnam now leads the region, Business Times of Singapore reported.
Vietnam had successfully averted a recession last year, with its export turnoverexpanding by 7 percent, it said.
In the first four months of 2021, the country’s export turnover rose by 28.3percent year-on-year, with strong gains in machinery, computer and electronicitems. Maybank maintained its forecast of 2021 full-year GDP growth at 6.5percent for Vietnam.
However, it is slashing its outlook for Cambodia to 4.2 percent from 5.9percent. Meanwhile, Laos is expected to grow 4.8 percent instead of 6 percent,and Myanmar could contract 8 percent instead of a growth rate of 3 percent.
According to the bank, the pace of economic recovery in all the four countrieshinges largely on vaccine rollout, but vaccine procurement has been achallenge./.
Vietnam will record positive economic growth in 2021, at around 6-7 percent, if the country continue support for vulnerable groups in the economy, as well as the freshly-rolled out vaccination campaign, said Jonathan Ostry, Deputy Director of the Asia and Pacific Department of the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
Vietnam’s stock market is expected to continue to grow, helped by strong economic growth and increasing local liquidity. The positive outlook will attract foreign investors back to the market, according to HSBC.
The World Bank in Vietnam has recently announced its updated report on Vietnam Macro Monitoring in May 2021, which states that most of Vietnam's economic indicators in April were good.
Vietnam’s GDP growth is expected to rebound to 7 percent in 2021, driven by a recovery in goods and service export, resilient domestic economy, and healthy investment inflows, according to the ASEAN 3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO).
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