Shipments definitely will stand below 9 million tonnes, as projected by theassociation for 2019, but could struggle to hit 8 million tonnes, CharoenLaothamatas, President of the Thai Rice Exporters Association, was quoted bythe Bangkok Post as saying.
In the first 11 months of 2019, Thailand shipped 7.11 million tonnes, a dip of30.4 percent from the same period a year earlier, fetching 2.90 billion USD,down 24.3 percent. The fall was attributed to the strong baht, hurting thecountry's export competitiveness.
Another factor is the lack of Thai rice variety development over a period of 30years to cope with changing market demand and consumer behaviour. Thailand hasshipped the same rice varieties for 30 years, Charoen said.
In 2018, Thai rice shipments totalled 11.2 million tonnes, down 5 percent from11.7 million in 2017 but higher than the 9.91 million tonnes in 2016. Normallyrice exports average 10 million tonnes a year, with white rice making up half.
According to the Agricultural and Cooperatives Ministry, annual paddyproduction for both the main and second crops is forecast at 27-28 milliontonnes in the 2019-20 season, weighed down by a drop in production for thesecond crop because of flooding and drought.
Paddy output from the second crop is estimated at just 3.5 million tonnes, down54 percent from 7.75 million the previous season, due to drought and inadequatewater supply from dams. Production from the main crop is forecast at 24 milliontonnes of paddy, down 4-12.5% from 25-27 million the previous season./.