Malaysia's inflation to stay low in 2023: Fitch Ratings

According to Fitch Ratings, Malaysia's inflation is expected to stay low at 2.8% in 2023 due to price controls and subsidies.
Malaysia's inflation to stay low in 2023: Fitch Ratings ảnh 1Malaysia's inflation to stay low in 2023 (Photo:nst.com)

Kuala Lumpur (VNA) - According to FitchRatings, Malaysia's inflation is expected to stay low at 2.8% in 2023 due to price controls and subsidies.

Malaysia's headline inflation averaged 3.3%for 2022.

However, Fitch said the forecast is subject toupside risk from possible policy changes on price controls and subsidies and arenewed momentum in global commodity prices.

It added after raising rates by 100 basis points in2022, Bank Negara Malaysia left the policy rate unchanged at 2.75% in January2023 and signalled that further normalisation would balance the risks toinflation and growth outlook.

Malaysia generated current account surpluses formore than two decades and Fitch expects it to continue to do so in the mediumterm.

Fitch forecasted the current account surplus towiden to 3.2% of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2023, driven by higherservices exports, from 2.6% of GDP in 2022.

The firm acknowledged Malaysia is well-positionedfor foreign direct investment inflows, with the manufacturing sector being thelargest recipient. Its strong manufacturing ecosystem will continue to attractinvestment in the sector, although competition is increasing from othercountries in the region.

It said moderate interest-rate hikes and a robust economy should keep credit impairments manageable (non-performing loans/total gross loans at 1.7% at the end of 2022. Banks' earnings prospects are stable and credit costs continue to normalise, but remain above pre-pandemic levels, it added./.

VNA

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