A report on the corporate bond market of VCBS Securities Company shows that inthe fourth quarter of 2022, about 85 trillion VND of bonds issued by banks andreal estate enterprises are set to mature. The volume of corporate bondsmaturing in 2023 and 2024 is estimated at 790 trillion VND.
VNDirect Securities Company also estimates that about 58.84 trillion VND of corporatebonds via private placements will mature in the fourth quarter of this year, ofwhich the rate of bonds issued by real estate companies and banks accounted for34.1% and 32.9%, respectively.
Accordingto the 2022 semi-annual financial statement of a large bank headquartered inHanoi, the total outstanding loans via the purchase of bonds reached 96trillion VND. Of which, outstanding loans in corporate bonds were 74 trillionVND, accounting for more than 11% of total assets of 623 trillion VND. Datafrom the Hanoi Stock Exchange (HNX) shows that from August 2023,this business will have to pay thousands of billions of dong ofbonds issued by itself.
For real estate enterprises, the data of HNX also shows that by December 2022,there are hundreds of billions of dong of bonds issued by realty companies tomature. For example, there are two medium-sized real estate enterprises in HCMCity that are due to pay a total amount of 500 billion VND in corporate bondsby the end of this year. In addition, dozens of other businesses have to paytens of thousands of billions of dong of corporate bonds in 2023.
Dr Le Dat Chi from Ho Chi Minh University of Economics said that banks lendingmoney through the purchase of corporate bonds will have to turn the loan intobad debt if the issuer has difficulties and can not pay back at the due time,and the bank would have to use profits to make provision for this debt, negativelyaffecting business results. This factor is said to have a negative impact onbanking stocks.
A financial advisor for large enterprises in HCM City said that the cash flowof enterprises always depends on banks and bond issuance. However, in the contextof banks restricting lending, enterprises have only one option left, which isto issue new bonds to pay for the previous issuance.
According to Nguyen Van Dinh, Chairman of the Vietnam Association Of RealEstate Brokers, the immediate solution is that the management agencies guidethe application of Decree No 65 on the issuance of private corporate bonds(Decree 65) so that enterprises can develop their own bonds and issue bonds inaccordance with regulations.
VNDirect Securities Company said that this decree allows enterprises to issuebonds for the purpose of debt restructuring. This is one of the looseningpoints, helping businesses continue to issue bonds for the purpose of debtrestructuring.
Nguyen Tung Anh, head of Research Group FiinRatings, said that after the recentadjustments, the size of the value of corporate bonds in circulation hasdecreased significantly.
"Improving information transparency and implementing new regulations ofDecree 65 along with a specific assessment of credit quality and maturity riskin the coming period will be an important solution to restore the market'sconfidence, especially professional individual investors," said Tung Anh.
FiinRatings experts said that Decree 65 added stricter regulations on themethod of offering and tightened the conditions for identifying professionalindividual investors. This will affect the demand for bonds by narrowing thedistribution of corporate bonds. The Ministry of Finance and the State Bank ofVietnam are rolling out specific information and instructions, so the marketwill witness the return of issuance activities as well as an increase in thenumber of enterprises participating in this capital channel.
Specifically, the Ministry of Finance has just proposed the Ministry ofConstruction study and supplement regulations on the financial safety ratio ofenterprises after granting construction and investment permits for real estateprojects to ensure the development of the bond market.
The State Bank of Vietnam has also requested the Ministry of Constructionreview and amend regulations on credit institutions’ offering, investing andproviding services on private placements of corporate bonds./.