Bangkok (VNA) - Major ASEAN economies should beable to survive volatile market swings in 2023 following similar turmoil lastyear thanks to the region's strong fundamentals, according to Singapore-basedUnited Overseas Bank (UOB).
In the bank's first-quarter global outlook report,Enrico Tanuwidjaja, an economist at UOB ASEAN, said ASEAN countries rode outvolatile markets in 2022, beset by lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic,Russia-Ukraine conflict, US-China tensions, sharp pricespikes and supply disruptions of energy and commodities, inflation spikesaround the world, aggressive interest rate hikes by the US Federal Reserve andother central banks, and a US dollar rally.
The economies’ resilience last year should helpthem amid looming risks for recessions in the US, the UK and Europe, tightenedfinancial conditions, further straining of US-China relations and theRussia-Ukraine conflict, among others.
Last year, GDP growth for most economies reboundedstrongly in the second and third quarters on the back of export demand andincreasing domestic demand as COVID-19 restrictions have mostly been lifted.
The removal of COVID-19 restrictions and reopeningof domestic economies across ASEAN since mid-2022 added to recovery momentum asvisitor flows surged and services sectors rebounded. These factors are expectedto be the main pillar for various ASEAN economies this year.
Nonetheless, given the export-oriented nature of ASEANeconomies, the possibility of spillovers from several remaining risk factorscannot be ignored. Overall, GDP growth rates around the world will be lower in2023. Major ASEAN economies are expected to see growth slowing to around 5%this year from above 6% in 2022, Tanuwidjaja said./.
In the bank's first-quarter global outlook report,Enrico Tanuwidjaja, an economist at UOB ASEAN, said ASEAN countries rode outvolatile markets in 2022, beset by lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic,Russia-Ukraine conflict, US-China tensions, sharp pricespikes and supply disruptions of energy and commodities, inflation spikesaround the world, aggressive interest rate hikes by the US Federal Reserve andother central banks, and a US dollar rally.
The economies’ resilience last year should helpthem amid looming risks for recessions in the US, the UK and Europe, tightenedfinancial conditions, further straining of US-China relations and theRussia-Ukraine conflict, among others.
Last year, GDP growth for most economies reboundedstrongly in the second and third quarters on the back of export demand andincreasing domestic demand as COVID-19 restrictions have mostly been lifted.
The removal of COVID-19 restrictions and reopeningof domestic economies across ASEAN since mid-2022 added to recovery momentum asvisitor flows surged and services sectors rebounded. These factors are expectedto be the main pillar for various ASEAN economies this year.
Nonetheless, given the export-oriented nature of ASEANeconomies, the possibility of spillovers from several remaining risk factorscannot be ignored. Overall, GDP growth rates around the world will be lower in2023. Major ASEAN economies are expected to see growth slowing to around 5%this year from above 6% in 2022, Tanuwidjaja said./.
VNA